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Timeline

Nuclear Fusion Timeline, 1920–2040: From Eddington to ITER

From a single conjecture in 1920 to privately built reactors in 2026

It took roughly a century to get from the conjecture that the Sun shines by fusing hydrogen to private companies signing power purchase agreements. This timeline sorts what accumulated in between into four kinds: theory, discovery, engineering milestone, and deployment.

Updated 2026-10-23/34 entries

TheoryDiscoveryMilestoneDeployment

Dashed borders and hollow dots mark projected, not-yet-achieved items. “Unverified” marks entries not yet confirmed against a primary source.

1920–1949Conjecture and the Laboratory
1920
Theory

The conjecture that stars shine by fusing hydrogen

Eddington argued that gravitational contraction could not account for the Sun's output, and that the source must be the conversion of hydrogen into helium. The idea of fusion arrives with no experimental backing whatsoever.

People and institutions: Arthur Eddington

NoteYear and claim are well established; the bibliographic citation should be double-checked.

Read more on this site

The Rise of Quantum Mechanics, Part 2Out Through a Wall It Cannot Climb — Gamow and Quantum Tunnelling, 1928

Even at the temperature of a star's core, nuclei cannot climb over the electric repulsion between them. This piece follows how Gamow's 1928 theory of tunnelling let Atkinson and Houtermans show in 1929 that they can slip through it instead, giving this conjecture a concrete form.

1934
Discovery

Fusion reactions produced in a laboratory for the first time

Firing deuterium at a deuterium target produced tritium and helium-3. Fusion moved from something happening inside stars to something reproducible inside an apparatus — at an enormous net energy loss.

People and institutions: Mark Oliphant / Paul Harteck / Ernest Rutherford

NoteWell established; the bibliographic citation should be double-checked.

1939
Theory

The reaction pathways inside stars are identified

Bethe formulated the energy-producing processes in stars, including the CNO cycle. Nineteen years after Eddington's conjecture, fusion became something that could be written down as equations. The work earned the 1967 Nobel Prize in Physics.

People and institutions: Hans Bethe

NoteWell established; the bibliographic citation should be double-checked.

1950–1979Setting the Conditions
1951c.
Theory

Two archetypes of magnetic confinement, proposed independently on each side

Spitzer conceived the stellarator in the US; Tamm and Sakharov the tokamak in the USSR. For more than seventy years since, magnetic confinement has been variations on these two lineages. Sources disagree on the exact year; primary sources are needed to fix it.

People and institutions: Lyman Spitzer / Igor Tamm / Andrei Sakharov

UnverifiedSources place the stellarator (Spitzer) and tokamak (Tamm, Sakharov) proposals anywhere from 1950 to 1952. Needs to be fixed against primary sources.

1955Dec 1955
Theory

The Lawson criterion — "how far is enough" becomes an inequality

Lawson derived the relationship between density, confinement time and temperature required for a reactor to produce net energy. Written first as a classified report (AERE GP/R 1807) and published in 1957. For seventy years since, every machine has been judged by where it sits against this single inequality.

  • nτT defines the ignition condition

People and institutions: John D. Lawson

NoteClassified report December 1955 (AERE GP/R 1807); published in Proc. Phys. Soc. B 70, 6 (1957). Wikipedia is inconsistent on 1955 vs 1957, so the published date is taken from the paper itself.

1958
Milestone

Fusion research is declassified and international cooperation begins (unverified)

Nations are reported to have opened their fusion programmes at the Second International Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy. The year before, Britain's ZETA had announced and then retracted a claim of fusion — a period when verifiability itself was at issue. Dates and details still need primary sourcing.

People and institutions: IAEA / UK/US/USSR

UnverifiedDeclassification of fusion research at the Second International Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy (Geneva, September 1958). Not yet confirmed against IAEA or other primary sources.

1968
Discovery

T-3's results are verified by a British team, and the world converts to tokamaks

At the 1968 Novosibirsk conference the USSR reported unexpectedly high electron temperatures on the T-3 tokamak. Because no one believed it, a team from Culham travelled to Moscow in 1969 and measured some 88 shots by laser scattering, confirming temperatures in the ten-million-degree range. Princeton converted its stellarator to a tokamak; the US, Europe and Japan followed.

  • Electron temperature ~10 million K

People and institutions: Kurchatov Institute / Culham Laboratory

1978
Milestone

Neutral beam injection breaks the heating barrier (unverified)

PLT is reported to have reached ion temperatures far above previous tokamaks using neutral beam heating — the point at which the second condition, getting the plasma hot enough, began to look tractable alongside confinement. Figures and year need primary sourcing.

People and institutions: Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory

UnverifiedIon temperature record on PLT (Princeton Large Torus) under neutral beam heating. Neither the year nor the figures have been confirmed against PPPL primary sources.

1980–2009The Era of Large Machines
19824 Feb 1982
Discovery

The discovery of H-mode — an unpredicted factor of two

On 4 February 1982, during neutral beam heating on ASDEX, edge turbulence nearly vanished and confinement abruptly doubled. Wagner, who found it, said it "wasn't predicted, it just happened." Every current tokamak design, ITER included, is premised on this accident.

  • Confinement gain ~2×

People and institutions: Fritz Wagner / Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics / ASDEX

1985
Milestone

ITER is born at the Geneva summit

Gorbachev proposed to Reagan that their countries collaborate on fusion for peaceful purposes. In 1986 Europe, Japan, the USSR and the US agreed on a joint design — the origin of ITER. That this machine begins in diplomacy rather than science shapes the character of every schedule problem that follows.

People and institutions: Mikhail Gorbachev / Ronald Reagan

1991
Milestone

JET produces controlled fusion power for the first time

Two shots on a 90% deuterium / 10% tritium mix reached a peak of 1.7 MW, averaging 1 MW over 2 seconds — a ratio to input power of about 0.12. The first experiment that put a measured number on the distance to the Lawson criterion.

  • Peak fusion power 1.7 MW
  • Q ~0.12

People and institutions: JET / EUROfusion

1994
Milestone

TFTR reaches 10.7 MW on a 50:50 D-T plasma

Extensive 50/50 deuterium-tritium experiments began in December 1993, and in 1994 TFTR produced 10.7 MW — comparable to the demand of roughly 3,000 households. But this is instantaneous fusion power; net of the electricity fed into the machine, the balance is still deeply negative.

  • Peak fusion power 10.7 MW

People and institutions: TFTR / Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory

1997
Milestone

JET DTE1 — a record that stands for 25 years

An ELM-free H-mode discharge (pulse 42976) produced 16.1 MW of fusion power at a ratio to input power of 0.62. Just short of scientific breakeven — and that "just short" would go unimproved for more than a quarter of a century.

  • Peak fusion power 16.1 MW
  • Q (vs input power) 0.62
  • Total energy 22.7 MJ

People and institutions: JET / EUROfusion

NoteThe paper gives Qin = 0.62 (Qtot = 0.95±0.17). The figure is commonly quoted as 0.67; cite the source explicitly when writing this up.

200621 Nov 2006
Milestone

The ITER Agreement is signed at the Élysée Palace

Representatives of the seven members — Europe, Japan, China, Russia, Korea, India and the US — signed the 34-page agreement in Paris. The site near Cadarache had been chosen in 2005; the ITER Organization was formally established on 24 October 2007.

People and institutions: ITER Organization / EU / Japan / China / Russia / Korea / India / USA

2010–2029Compact Machines and Private Capital
2015Dec 2015
Milestone

Wendelstein 7-X first plasma — the stellarator line returns

The stellarator, which had lost out to the tokamak, came back via three-dimensionally optimised superconducting coils. Its inherent advantage for steady-state operation only became buildable once computers could optimise the geometry.

People and institutions: Wendelstein 7-X / Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics

NoteFirst plasma (helium) is given as 10 December 2015 and hydrogen as 3 February 2016. Dates should be fixed against IPP primary sources.

20215 Sep 2021
Milestone

A 20-tesla high-temperature superconducting magnet — the key to shrinking the machine

CFS and MIT reached 20 tesla with a fusion magnet wound from high-temperature superconductor: performance that would otherwise require a device forty times larger. Because fusion performance scales with roughly the fourth power of field strength, this rewrote the assumptions about machine size and capital cost — and marks the point where private capital arrived in earnest.

  • Field strength 20 T

People and institutions: Commonwealth Fusion Systems / MIT Plasma Science and Fusion Center

20225 Dec 2022
Milestone

Ignition — the Lawson criterion is crossed for the first time

2.05 MJ of laser energy on target yielded 3.15 MJ of fusion energy: output exceeded input, 67 years after Lawson wrote the inequality. But this is a target-level balance and excludes the roughly 300 MJ the laser itself consumes. The gap between scientific ignition and generating electricity became explicit here.

  • Output 3.15 MJ
  • Laser input 2.05 MJ
  • Target gain 1.5

People and institutions: National Ignition Facility / Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

2023Oct 2023
Milestone

JT-60SA first plasma — the largest operating tokamak in the world

The Japan–EU superconducting tokamak at Naka reached first plasma. As the machine closest in design to ITER, it works out operating methods ahead of time and feeds back manufacturing lessons — filling the decade-plus before ITER itself runs.

People and institutions: JT-60SA / QST / Fusion for Energy

2024Feb 2024
Milestone

69.26 MJ in JET's final experiments — and then retirement

0.21 milligrams of fuel produced 69.26 MJ over six seconds, beating 22.7 MJ in 1997 and 59 MJ in 2022. What mattered more than the number was that the conditions were reproduced across multiple pulses. JET ended forty years of operation with this campaign.

  • Total energy 69.26 MJ
  • Duration 6 s
  • Fuel 0.21 mg

People and institutions: JET / EUROfusion / UKAEA

2024Jul 2024
Milestone

ITER pushes its schedule back by a decade

The old "first plasma in 2025" milestone was dropped for a new baseline: start of research operation in 2034 with deuterium-only plasma, full magnetic energy in 2036, and D-T operation in 2039, at an additional cost of around €5 billion. Director-General Barabaschi argues that starting with more systems in place is the more robust path.

  • Start of operation 2034
  • D-T operation 2039
  • Additional cost ~€5 billion

People and institutions: ITER Organization / Pietro Barabaschi

2025Jan 2025
Milestone

Tokamak pulses pass 1,000 seconds — first EAST, then WEST

On 20 January 2025 China's EAST held a high-confinement (H-mode) plasma for 1,066 seconds, about 2.6 times its own 2023 record of 403 seconds. A little over three weeks later, on 12 February, France's WEST held a hydrogen plasma for 1,337 seconds (about 22 minutes). Neither used tritium, so almost no fusion power was produced. The contest here is not output but whether the walls and heating systems can survive long operation — the other condition a power plant cannot do without.

  • EAST H-mode 1066 s (3.05 GJ injected)
  • WEST 1337 s (2.6 GJ injected)

People and institutions: EAST / Institute of Plasma Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences / WEST / CEA-IRFM

20257 Apr 2025
Milestone

NIF reaches 8.6 MJ — gain quadruples within two and a half years of ignition

8.6 MJ from 2.08 MJ of laser input, the highest yield to date and about 2.7 times the gain of December 2022. Iteration is clearly paying off — though NIF remains a stockpile stewardship facility, not a machine built to generate power.

  • Output 8.6 MJ (±0.45)
  • Laser input 2.08 MJ
  • Target gain ~4.1

People and institutions: National Ignition Facility / Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

202522 May 2025
Milestone

W7-X sets a long-duration triple product record — a different axis entirely

In the OP 2.3 campaign, a high value of the fusion triple product was sustained for 43 seconds, alongside an energy turnover of 1.8 GJ over 360 seconds. This is a contest about duration rather than peak power, and it is where the stellarator's structural advantage finally shows up as a number.

  • Triple product sustained 43 s
  • Energy turnover 1.8 GJ / 360 s

People and institutions: Wendelstein 7-X / Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics

2025Jun 2025
Deployment

Electricity from a plant that does not yet exist is bought and sold

CFS signed power purchase agreements with Google in June 2025 and with Eni in September 2025, covering ARC — a 400 MW plant planned for Chesterfield County, Virginia, targeted to reach the grid in the early 2030s. Long-term contracts are being written before the machine runs: the point at which finance, rather than technology, moved first.

  • ARC output 400 MW
  • Eni contract >$1 billion

People and institutions: Commonwealth Fusion Systems / Google / Eni

2025Jul 2025
Deployment

Helion breaks ground on a commercial fusion plant

Construction of Orion, Helion's first commercial machine, began in Malaga, Washington, under a contract to supply electricity to Microsoft, targeting operation in 2028. Helion recovers electricity directly from the plasma rather than through a steam turbine. Expert opinion on whether that date is realistic is genuinely divided.

  • Target for first power 2028

People and institutions: Helion Energy / Microsoft

2026Jan 2026
Milestone

A privately built machine demonstrates measurable D-T fusion for the first time

Helion's Polaris prototype became the first privately developed device to show measurable deuterium-tritium fusion (January 2026, announced 13 February). Plasma temperature reached 150 million °C, up from 100 million on the earlier Trenta prototype. Experts at Sandia National Laboratories and the University of Michigan are reported to have verified the results independently.

  • Plasma temperature 150 million °C

People and institutions: Helion Energy / Polaris

202626 Feb 2026
Milestone

The US proposes to regulate fusion machines outside the reactor framework

The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission published a proposed rule that would license fusion machines not as fission reactors but under the same framework used for radioactive materials in medicine and industry (10 CFR Part 30). It is the regulatory system acknowledging a physical difference: there is no chain reaction, and switching the machine off stops the reaction. Open questions put out for comment include reporting thresholds for the large amounts of tritium fuel and how to dispose of parts made radioactive by neutrons. By law the final rule must be in place by the end of 2027.

People and institutions: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission

202616 Mar 2026
Milestone

Japan's Q-DEMO — an ITER-sized prototype aiming to generate electricity in the 2030s

Japan's National Institutes for Quantum Science and Technology (QST) presented the conceptual design of Q-DEMO, a prototype reactor with an ITER-sized plasma, to a Cabinet Office task force. A machine larger than ITER would cost more time and money, so the size was deliberately matched to ITER, and building to phase 1 was estimated at about 2 trillion yen on the basis of ITER component manufacturing. Phase 1 (proposed to start in 2038) runs for minutes and aims only to show that the electricity generated roughly covers the plant's own use. Making more fuel than it burns comes in phase 2, and a net output of about 100 MW only in phase 3.

  • Construction cost (to phase 1) about ¥2 trillion
  • Fusion power (phase 1) about 500 MW
  • Tritium breeding ratio target (phase 2) 1.05

People and institutions: QST (量子科学技術研究開発機構) / Cabinet Office, Government of Japan (内閣府)

202611 Aug 2026
Milestone

Can a reactor make its own fuel? A facility to measure breeding blankets

Every power-plant design that burns deuterium and tritium assumes a "blanket" around the plasma in which neutrons strike lithium and breed the tritium fuel. Yet no one has confirmed this in a neutron environment like that of real fusion. With US Department of Energy funding, Kyoto Fusioneering and Oak Ridge National Laboratory will build UNITY-3, which uses an accelerator to fire 14 MeV neutrons into blanket test pieces and measure how much tritium is produced. A 2023 review notes that computed breeding ratios still carry uncertainties of 5–15%, so whether a reactor can keep itself fuelled is, for now, an answer on paper.

  • Target completion end of 2028
  • Uncertainty in computed breeding ratio 5–15%

People and institutions: Kyoto Fusioneering / Oak Ridge National Laboratory / U.S. Department of Energy

20262 Oct 2026
Milestone

Every large component of ITER's core machine is now on site

The last vacuum vessel sector, built in Europe, arrived on 2 October, putting every major component of the core machine — superconducting coils, vacuum vessel and cryostat — on site. The vessel is assembled by welding together nine sectors, six of which were in place in the tokamak pit at the time. In-vessel components such as the divertor and blanket are still to come, and the 2024 plan of starting operation in 2034 and D-T operation in 2039 is unchanged. It marks the point where the challenge shifts from making the parts to putting them together and running them.

  • Vacuum vessel sector modules 6 of 9 installed (Oct 2026)

People and institutions: ITER Organization / Fusion for Energy

2027
Milestone

SPARC — the first magnetic confinement machine aiming for Q>1 (under construction)

The first of eighteen superconducting toroidal field coils went in in January 2026, and by May both halves of the vacuum vessel were on hand and being fitted out. The start of operations, however, has slipped from the 2026 target stated in 2024 to 2027. By design it should produce about 140 MW in ten-second pulses at a gain of roughly 11 — an order of magnitude beyond JET's 0.62, and the first movement in a record frozen since 1997.

  • Design fusion power ~140 MW
  • Target Q ~11

People and institutions: Commonwealth Fusion Systems / SPARC

NoteOperations in 2027 and Q>1 after that are company targets, not achieved results. The start of operations has slipped from the 2026 target stated in 2024 to 2027.

2027
Milestone

China's BEST — aiming to show power from a burning plasma (under construction)

Begun in 2023 in Hefei, Anhui, BEST had its base installed in October 2025, and by October 2026 assembly had reached the stage of nesting the thermal shield and field coils around the vacuum vessel. The targets are completion by the end of 2027 and a demonstration of electricity from deuterium-tritium fusion around 2030, beyond scientific breakeven (Q≥1). A state-led compact high-field approach running in parallel to SPARC.

  • Target Q ≥1 (alpha heating studies at Q≤5)

People and institutions: Institute of Plasma Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences / BEST

NoteCompletion at the end of 2027 and a power-generation demonstration around 2030 are plans. The October 2026 assembly status comes from Xinhua reporting.

2030–2040Connecting to the Grid (planned)
2030s2030s
Deployment

ARC supplies power to the grid (target)

The 400 MW ARC plant in Chesterfield County, Virginia targets grid connection in the early 2030s — enough for roughly 150,000 to 300,000 homes. That would be about 110 years after Eddington's conjecture and 75 after the Lawson criterion: the number itself is one answer to how far basic research sits from deployment.

  • Output 400 MW

People and institutions: Commonwealth Fusion Systems / ARC

Note"Early 2030s" is the company's target. The year value 2032 is a placeholder for plotting, not a fixed date.

2039
Milestone

ITER begins D-T operation (planned)

Under the 2024 baseline, D-T operation starts in 2039 — 54 years after the Geneva summit and 33 after the agreement was signed. By then private commercial machines may already be running, which raises a question about what ITER's role has become.

  • Design Q 10

People and institutions: ITER Organization

NotePlanned value under the 2024 baseline.